odds of winning lotto

Lottery games have been a popular form of entertainment and a potential pathway to wealth for many. However, the allure of winning big often overshadows the reality of the odds involved. Understanding the odds of winning the lottery can help players make informed decisions and manage their expectations. What Are the Odds of Winning the Lottery? The odds of winning the lottery vary significantly depending on the type of game and the specific rules in place. Here are some common types of lottery games and their respective odds: 1.

  • Lucky Ace Palace
    new
    Luck&Luxury100% / $1500
    Casino popularity:
    Collecting more data...
    Payment methods
    • Mifinity
    • Google Pay
    • PIX
    • EcoPayz
    • Neteller
    • Apple Pay
    • Visa
    • Sofort
    • Interac
    • Wagering: 35 x (b)
    • Withdrawal time: 1 days
    • Minimum deposit to casino: $30
    • Bonus max bet: $5
    • Established: 2024
    • Free Spins: 200
    • 1st Deposit Bonus:100% / $1500 + 200 Free Spins
    • Bonus code: FRUIT22nd Deposit Bonus:100% / $1500 + 75 Free Spins
    • Bonus code: FRUIT33rd Deposit Bonus:75% / $3000 + 75 Free Spins
    • Bonus code: FRUIT44th Deposit Bonus:50% / $4500 + 200 Free Spins
    • Leading selection of slots
    • VISA casino site
    • HD streaming casino games
    • Newly unveiled casino
    • Signup offer now available
    • Mr. Gamble special bonuses
    Show more
  • Cash King Palace
    Royal Wins100% / $1500
    Casino popularity:
    Collecting more data...
    Payment methods
    • Mifinity
    • Google Pay
    • PIX
    • EcoPayz
    • Neteller
    • Apple Pay
    • Visa
    • Sofort
    • Interac
    • Wagering: 35 x (b)
    • Withdrawal time: 1 days
    • Minimum deposit to casino: $30
    • Bonus max bet: $5
    • Established: 2024
    • Free Spins: 200
    • 1st Deposit Bonus:100% / $1500 + 200 Free Spins
    • Bonus code: FRUIT22nd Deposit Bonus:100% / $1500 + 75 Free Spins
    • Bonus code: FRUIT33rd Deposit Bonus:75% / $3000 + 75 Free Spins
    • Bonus code: FRUIT44th Deposit Bonus:50% / $4500 + 200 Free Spins
    • Leading selection of slots
    • VISA casino site
    • HD streaming casino games
    • Newly unveiled casino
    • Signup offer now available
    • Mr. Gamble special bonuses
    Show more
  • Starlight Betting Lounge
    Celestial Bet100% / $1500
    Casino popularity:
    Collecting more data...
    Payment methods
    • Mifinity
    • Google Pay
    • PIX
    • EcoPayz
    • Neteller
    • Apple Pay
    • Visa
    • Sofort
    • Interac
    • Wagering: 35 x (b)
    • Withdrawal time: 1 days
    • Minimum deposit to casino: $30
    • Bonus max bet: $5
    • Established: 2024
    • Free Spins: 200
    • 1st Deposit Bonus:100% / $1500 + 200 Free Spins
    • Bonus code: FRUIT22nd Deposit Bonus:100% / $1500 + 75 Free Spins
    • Bonus code: FRUIT33rd Deposit Bonus:75% / $3000 + 75 Free Spins
    • Bonus code: FRUIT44th Deposit Bonus:50% / $4500 + 200 Free Spins
    • Leading selection of slots
    • VISA casino site
    • HD streaming casino games
    • Newly unveiled casino
    • Signup offer now available
    • Mr. Gamble special bonuses
    Show more
  • Golden Spin Casino
    Luxury Play100% / $1500
    Casino popularity:
    Collecting more data...
    Payment methods
    • Mifinity
    • Google Pay
    • PIX
    • EcoPayz
    • Neteller
    • Apple Pay
    • Visa
    • Sofort
    • Interac
    • Wagering: 35 x (b)
    • Withdrawal time: 1 days
    • Minimum deposit to casino: $30
    • Bonus max bet: $5
    • Established: 2024
    • Free Spins: 200
    • 1st Deposit Bonus:100% / $1500 + 200 Free Spins
    • Bonus code: FRUIT22nd Deposit Bonus:100% / $1500 + 75 Free Spins
    • Bonus code: FRUIT33rd Deposit Bonus:75% / $3000 + 75 Free Spins
    • Bonus code: FRUIT44th Deposit Bonus:50% / $4500 + 200 Free Spins
    • Leading selection of slots
    • VISA casino site
    • HD streaming casino games
    • Newly unveiled casino
    • Signup offer now available
    • Mr. Gamble special bonuses
    Show more
  • Silver Fox Slots
    Elegance+Fun100% / $1500
    Casino popularity:
    Collecting more data...
    Payment methods
    • Mifinity
    • Google Pay
    • PIX
    • EcoPayz
    • Neteller
    • Apple Pay
    • Visa
    • Sofort
    • Interac
    • Wagering: 35 x (b)
    • Withdrawal time: 1 days
    • Minimum deposit to casino: $30
    • Bonus max bet: $5
    • Established: 2024
    • Free Spins: 200
    • 1st Deposit Bonus:100% / $1500 + 200 Free Spins
    • Bonus code: FRUIT22nd Deposit Bonus:100% / $1500 + 75 Free Spins
    • Bonus code: FRUIT33rd Deposit Bonus:75% / $3000 + 75 Free Spins
    • Bonus code: FRUIT44th Deposit Bonus:50% / $4500 + 200 Free Spins
    • Leading selection of slots
    • VISA casino site
    • HD streaming casino games
    • Newly unveiled casino
    • Signup offer now available
    • Mr. Gamble special bonuses
    Show more
  • Spin Palace Casino
    Win Big Now100% / $1500
    Casino popularity:
    Collecting more data...
    Payment methods
    • Mifinity
    • Google Pay
    • PIX
    • EcoPayz
    • Neteller
    • Apple Pay
    • Visa
    • Sofort
    • Interac
    • Wagering: 35 x (b)
    • Withdrawal time: 1 days
    • Minimum deposit to casino: $30
    • Bonus max bet: $5
    • Established: 2024
    • Free Spins: 200
    • 1st Deposit Bonus:100% / $1500 + 200 Free Spins
    • Bonus code: FRUIT22nd Deposit Bonus:100% / $1500 + 75 Free Spins
    • Bonus code: FRUIT33rd Deposit Bonus:75% / $3000 + 75 Free Spins
    • Bonus code: FRUIT44th Deposit Bonus:50% / $4500 + 200 Free Spins
    • Leading selection of slots
    • VISA casino site
    • HD streaming casino games
    • Newly unveiled casino
    • Signup offer now available
    • Mr. Gamble special bonuses
    Show more
  • Royal Fortune Gaming
    Opulence & Thrills100% / $1500
    Casino popularity:
    Collecting more data...
    Payment methods
    • Mifinity
    • Google Pay
    • PIX
    • EcoPayz
    • Neteller
    • Apple Pay
    • Visa
    • Sofort
    • Interac
    • Wagering: 35 x (b)
    • Withdrawal time: 1 days
    • Minimum deposit to casino: $30
    • Bonus max bet: $5
    • Established: 2024
    • Free Spins: 200
    • 1st Deposit Bonus:100% / $1500 + 200 Free Spins
    • Bonus code: FRUIT22nd Deposit Bonus:100% / $1500 + 75 Free Spins
    • Bonus code: FRUIT33rd Deposit Bonus:75% / $3000 + 75 Free Spins
    • Bonus code: FRUIT44th Deposit Bonus:50% / $4500 + 200 Free Spins
    • Leading selection of slots
    • VISA casino site
    • HD streaming casino games
    • Newly unveiled casino
    • Signup offer now available
    • Mr. Gamble special bonuses
    Show more
  • Diamond Crown Casino
    Opulence & Fun100% / $1500
    Casino popularity:
    Collecting more data...
    Payment methods
    • Mifinity
    • Google Pay
    • PIX
    • EcoPayz
    • Neteller
    • Apple Pay
    • Visa
    • Sofort
    • Interac
    • Wagering: 35 x (b)
    • Withdrawal time: 1 days
    • Minimum deposit to casino: $30
    • Bonus max bet: $5
    • Established: 2024
    • Free Spins: 200
    • 1st Deposit Bonus:100% / $1500 + 200 Free Spins
    • Bonus code: FRUIT22nd Deposit Bonus:100% / $1500 + 75 Free Spins
    • Bonus code: FRUIT33rd Deposit Bonus:75% / $3000 + 75 Free Spins
    • Bonus code: FRUIT44th Deposit Bonus:50% / $4500 + 200 Free Spins
    • Leading selection of slots
    • VISA casino site
    • HD streaming casino games
    • Newly unveiled casino
    • Signup offer now available
    • Mr. Gamble special bonuses
    Show more
  • Lucky Ace Casino
    Luck&Luxury100% / $1500
    Casino popularity:
    Collecting more data...
    Payment methods
    • Mifinity
    • Google Pay
    • PIX
    • EcoPayz
    • Neteller
    • Apple Pay
    • Visa
    • Sofort
    • Interac
    • Wagering: 35 x (b)
    • Withdrawal time: 1 days
    • Minimum deposit to casino: $30
    • Bonus max bet: $5
    • Established: 2024
    • Free Spins: 200
    • 1st Deposit Bonus:100% / $1500 + 200 Free Spins
    • Bonus code: FRUIT22nd Deposit Bonus:100% / $1500 + 75 Free Spins
    • Bonus code: FRUIT33rd Deposit Bonus:75% / $3000 + 75 Free Spins
    • Bonus code: FRUIT44th Deposit Bonus:50% / $4500 + 200 Free Spins
    • Leading selection of slots
    • VISA casino site
    • HD streaming casino games
    • Newly unveiled casino
    • Signup offer now available
    • Mr. Gamble special bonuses
    Show more
  • Royal Flush Lounge
    Opulent Play100% / $1500
    Casino popularity:
    Collecting more data...
    Payment methods
    • Mifinity
    • Google Pay
    • PIX
    • EcoPayz
    • Neteller
    • Apple Pay
    • Visa
    • Sofort
    • Interac
    • Wagering: 35 x (b)
    • Withdrawal time: 1 days
    • Minimum deposit to casino: $30
    • Bonus max bet: $5
    • Established: 2024
    • Free Spins: 200
    • 1st Deposit Bonus:100% / $1500 + 200 Free Spins
    • Bonus code: FRUIT22nd Deposit Bonus:100% / $1500 + 75 Free Spins
    • Bonus code: FRUIT33rd Deposit Bonus:75% / $3000 + 75 Free Spins
    • Bonus code: FRUIT44th Deposit Bonus:50% / $4500 + 200 Free Spins
    • Leading selection of slots
    • VISA casino site
    • HD streaming casino games
    • Newly unveiled casino
    • Signup offer now available
    • Mr. Gamble special bonuses
    Show more

Source

  1. odds of winning lotto
  2. odds of winning lotto
  3. odds of winning lotto
  4. odds of winning lotto
  5. odds of winning lotto
  6. odds of winning lotto

odds of winning lotto

Lottery games have been a popular form of entertainment and a potential pathway to wealth for many. However, the allure of winning big often overshadows the reality of the odds involved. Understanding the odds of winning the lottery can help players make informed decisions and manage their expectations.

What Are the Odds of Winning the Lottery?

The odds of winning the lottery vary significantly depending on the type of game and the specific rules in place. Here are some common types of lottery games and their respective odds:

1. Powerball

  • Odds of Winning the Jackpot: 1 in 292,201,338
  • Odds of Winning Any Prize: 1 in 24.87

2. Mega Millions

  • Odds of Winning the Jackpot: 1 in 302,575,350
  • Odds of Winning Any Prize: 1 in 24

3. EuroMillions

  • Odds of Winning the Jackpot: 1 in 139,838,160
  • Odds of Winning Any Prize: 1 in 13

4. Lotto 649

  • Odds of Winning the Jackpot: 1 in 13,983,816
  • Odds of Winning Any Prize: 1 in 6.6

5. Daily Grand

  • Odds of Winning the Jackpot: 1 in 13,348,188
  • Odds of Winning Any Prize: 1 in 7.8

Factors Affecting Lottery Odds

Several factors contribute to the odds of winning a lottery game:

  • Number of Balls: The more balls in the draw, the lower the odds of winning.
  • Number of Numbers to Match: Matching more numbers increases the difficulty and lowers the odds.
  • Additional Draws: Games with additional draws (like Powerball’s Power Play or Mega Millions’ Megaplier) can alter the odds for non-jackpot prizes.

Strategies to Improve Your Odds

While the odds of winning the lottery are inherently low, there are some strategies that can help you play more effectively:

1. Join a Lottery Pool

  • Benefit: Sharing the cost with others increases the number of tickets you can buy.
  • Risk: If the pool wins, the jackpot is shared among all members.
  • Benefit: Games with lower participation rates can have better odds.
  • Risk: The jackpots may be smaller.

3. Avoid Common Number Patterns

  • Benefit: Numbers that are frequently chosen (like birthdays) reduce your chances if they are drawn.
  • Risk: There is no guarantee that uncommon numbers will be drawn.

4. Stay Informed

  • Benefit: Knowing the rules and odds of different games can help you choose the best option.
  • Risk: The information must be up-to-date and accurate.

Managing Expectations

It’s crucial to approach lottery games with a realistic mindset. The odds of winning are extremely low, and the primary purpose should be entertainment rather than financial gain. Here are some tips for managing expectations:

  • Set a Budget: Allocate a specific amount for lottery tickets and stick to it.
  • Don’t Chase Losses: Accept that losing is part of the game and avoid spending more to recover losses.
  • Enjoy the Experience: Focus on the fun and excitement of participating rather than the potential winnings.

Understanding the odds of winning the lottery is essential for anyone who participates in these games. While the dream of winning a jackpot is enticing, it’s important to be aware of the low probability and manage your expectations accordingly. By making informed decisions and enjoying the experience, you can make the most of your lottery participation.

kerala lottery winning status【indian race odds】

The Kerala Lottery is one of the most popular forms of legal gambling in India, offering a variety of games that attract millions of participants each year. Understanding the winning status and the odds associated with these lotteries can be crucial for both seasoned players and newcomers. This article delves into the Kerala Lottery winning status and the Indian race odds, providing insights into how these lotteries operate and what players can expect.

Overview of Kerala Lottery

The Kerala Lottery is operated by the Government of Kerala and has been a significant source of revenue for the state since its inception in 1967. The lottery offers several weekly and festive draws, each with its own set of prizes and rules. Some of the popular Kerala Lottery games include:

  • Pournami
  • Karunya
  • Akshaya
  • Win-Win
  • Sthree Sakthi

Kerala Lottery Winning Status

To understand the winning status of the Kerala Lottery, it’s essential to know how the draws are conducted and how winners are determined.

Draw Process

  1. Selection of Numbers: Participants purchase tickets with a set of numbers. The more tickets bought, the higher the chances of winning.
  2. Draw Conducted: The draw is conducted publicly, often with representatives from the government and the public present.
  3. Winning Numbers Announced: The winning numbers are announced, and participants can check their tickets against these numbers.

Claiming Prizes

Winners must claim their prizes within a specified period, usually 30 days from the draw date. The process involves:

  • Verification: Submitting the winning ticket for verification.
  • Documentation: Providing necessary identification and other documents.
  • Prize Collection: Collecting the prize from the designated authorities.

Indian Race Odds

Understanding the odds of winning in the Kerala Lottery and other Indian race odds can help players make informed decisions.

Kerala Lottery Odds

The odds of winning the Kerala Lottery vary depending on the game and the number of tickets sold. Generally, the odds are calculated as follows:

  • Total Tickets Sold: The total number of tickets sold for a particular draw.
  • Number of Winning Tickets: The number of tickets that will win a prize.
  • Odds Calculation: The odds are calculated by dividing the total number of tickets by the number of winning tickets.

Indian Race Odds

Indian race odds, particularly in horse racing, are influenced by several factors:

  • Horse’s Performance History: Past performances and records of the horse.
  • Jockey’s Skill: The skill and experience of the jockey.
  • Track Conditions: The condition of the race track on the day of the race.
  • Weather Conditions: Weather conditions that can affect the race.

Strategies for Increasing Winning Chances

While the odds are generally against the player, there are strategies that can help increase the chances of winning:

  • Multiple Entries: Buying multiple tickets for the same draw.
  • Systematic Play: Using a systematic approach to select numbers.
  • Stay Informed: Keeping up with the latest news and trends in the lottery and racing world.

The Kerala Lottery and Indian race odds offer exciting opportunities for those interested in legal gambling. Understanding the winning status and the odds associated with these games can help players make informed decisions and potentially increase their chances of winning. Whether participating in the Kerala Lottery or betting on Indian races, staying informed and strategic can enhance the overall experience.

chances of winning lotto

Lottery games have long been a source of fascination and hope for millions of people around the world. The allure of winning a massive jackpot with a small investment is undeniable. However, the reality is that the chances of winning the lottery are incredibly slim. In this article, we’ll delve into the mathematics behind lottery odds, explore different types of lotteries, and discuss strategies that might improve your chances, albeit marginally.

Understanding Lottery Odds

Basic Probability

The odds of winning a lottery are determined by the number of possible combinations of numbers that can be drawn. For a standard 649 lottery, where you need to match 6 numbers out of 49, the odds are calculated as follows:

  • Total Combinations: The total number of combinations is calculated using the binomial coefficient, which is given by: [ \binom{49}{6} = \frac{49!}{6!(49-6)!} = 13,983,816 ]
  • Odds of Winning: The odds of winning the jackpot are 1 in 13,983,816.

Different Types of Lotteries

  1. Powerball and Mega Millions: These are multi-state lotteries in the United States with even lower odds due to additional number selections.

    • Powerball: 1 in 292,201,338
    • Mega Millions: 1 in 302,575,350
  2. Pick 3 and Pick 4: These are daily number games with better odds but smaller payouts.

    • Pick 3: 1 in 1,000
    • Pick 4: 1 in 10,000
  3. Scratch-Off Tickets: The odds vary widely depending on the ticket, but they are generally better than traditional lotteries.

Strategies to Improve Your Chances

While no strategy can guarantee a win, some methods might slightly improve your odds:

  1. Pick Different Numbers: Avoid common sequences like 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 or birthdates, as they are commonly chosen.
  2. Join a Syndicate: Pooling money with others increases the number of tickets you can buy, thereby increasing your chances.
  3. Use Random Number Generators: These tools can help you select numbers randomly, reducing the likelihood of picking a common sequence.
  4. Play Less Frequently: Instead of playing every draw, save your money and buy more tickets for a single draw.

The Psychological Impact

The Gambler’s Fallacy

Many people believe that if a certain number hasn’t been drawn in a while, it’s “due” to be drawn soon. This is known as the gambler’s fallacy and is incorrect. Each draw is independent, and past results do not influence future outcomes.

The Hope Factor

Despite the low odds, the hope of winning a life-changing amount of money keeps people playing. The lottery industry thrives on this hope, making it a multi-billion dollar business worldwide.

The chances of winning the lottery are extremely low, but the dream of a massive payout keeps millions playing. Understanding the mathematics behind lottery odds can help you make informed decisions. While strategies might slightly improve your chances, remember that the lottery is ultimately a game of chance. Play responsibly and enjoy the dream, but don’t rely on it as a financial strategy.

three number kerala lottery

The Kerala Lottery is one of the most popular forms of gambling in India, known for its transparency and fairness. Among the various types of lotteries offered by the Kerala State Lottery Department, the Three Number Kerala Lottery stands out due to its simplicity and potential for high returns. This article provides a detailed overview of the Three Number Kerala Lottery, including how to play, the odds of winning, and tips for increasing your chances.

What is the Three Number Kerala Lottery?

The Three Number Kerala Lottery is a type of lottery game where participants choose a three-digit number and place a bet on it. The winning number is drawn randomly, and if your chosen number matches the drawn number, you win a prize. This lottery is part of the larger Kerala Lottery system, which is regulated by the Kerala State Government.

How to Play the Three Number Kerala Lottery

Playing the Three Number Kerala Lottery is straightforward:

  1. Choose Your Number: Select a three-digit number between 000 and 999.
  2. Purchase a Ticket: Buy a ticket from an authorized Kerala Lottery retailer. The ticket will include your chosen number and the amount you have bet.
  3. Wait for the Draw: The winning number is drawn at a specified time, usually announced through official channels.
  4. Check Your Results: If your number matches the drawn number, you win the corresponding prize.

Types of Three Number Kerala Lottery

There are different types of Three Number Kerala Lotteries, each with its own set of rules and prize structures:

  • Straight Bet: You bet on a specific three-digit number. If the drawn number matches your number exactly, you win.
  • Box Bet: You bet on a number, and you win if the drawn number contains the same digits as your number, regardless of the order.
  • Front Pair/Back Pair: You bet on the first two digits (front pair) or the last two digits (back pair) of the drawn number.

Odds of Winning

Understanding the odds of winning is crucial for any lottery player. In the Three Number Kerala Lottery:

  • Straight Bet: The odds of winning are 1 in 1000, as there are 1000 possible three-digit combinations.
  • Box Bet: The odds vary depending on the number chosen. For example, if you choose a number with three unique digits, the odds are 1 in 167.
  • Front Pair/Back Pair: The odds are 1 in 100, as there are 100 possible two-digit combinations.

Tips for Increasing Your Chances

While the Three Number Kerala Lottery is largely based on chance, there are a few strategies you can use to improve your odds:

  • Study Previous Draws: Analyze the frequency of numbers drawn in previous lotteries. While this doesn’t guarantee future results, it can help you make more informed choices.
  • Avoid Common Numbers: Numbers that are frequently chosen by others (e.g., birthdays) may reduce your share of the prize if you win.
  • Play Multiple Tickets: Buying more tickets increases your chances of winning, but be mindful of the cost.
  • Use Random Number Generators: Tools that generate random numbers can help you choose numbers without any bias.

The Three Number Kerala Lottery offers a simple yet exciting way to participate in the world of lotteries. With its straightforward rules and potential for significant returns, it continues to attract players from all walks of life. Whether you’re a seasoned lottery player or a newcomer, understanding the mechanics and odds of the Three Number Kerala Lottery can enhance your gaming experience. Remember to play responsibly and enjoy the thrill of the draw.

Frequently Questions

What are the odds of winning the 22 lotto?

The odds of winning the 22 lotto vary by the specific game rules. Generally, lotto games have odds ranging from 1 in a few million to 1 in tens of millions. For example, a typical 6/49 lotto game has odds of approximately 1 in 14 million. To calculate the odds, consider the total number of possible combinations and the number of winning combinations. Higher odds mean fewer chances to win, but the prize can be substantial. Always check the specific rules of the 22 lotto game you're interested in for precise odds.

What are the odds of winning the Lotto in Australia?

The odds of winning the Australian Lotto vary by the specific game you play. For example, the odds of winning the Saturday Lotto, which is one of the most popular games, are approximately 1 in 8,145,060 for a standard 6-number draw. The Monday and Wednesday Lotto offer slightly better odds at around 1 in 8,128,460. The Oz Lotto, on the other hand, has odds of about 1 in 45,379,620. These odds can be influenced by the number of tickets sold and the number of winners in each draw. While the odds may seem daunting, many Australians enjoy participating in lotteries as a form of entertainment and hope.

 

How do Irish Lotto odds compare to other lotteries?

Irish Lotto odds are generally more favorable compared to many other international lotteries. The odds of winning the Irish Lotto jackpot are approximately 1 in 10.7 million, which is significantly better than the odds of winning the EuroMillions jackpot, which stand at around 1 in 139.8 million. Similarly, the odds for the UK Lotto jackpot are about 1 in 45 million. This makes Irish Lotto a more accessible option for players looking for better chances of winning a substantial prize. Additionally, Irish Lotto offers multiple prize tiers, increasing the overall probability of winning something, making it a popular choice among lottery enthusiasts.

What are the odds of winning Oz Lotto?

The odds of winning the Oz Lotto jackpot are approximately 1 in 45,379,620. This figure represents the chance of matching all seven numbers drawn from a pool of 45. However, the overall odds of winning any prize in Oz Lotto are significantly better, standing at around 1 in 87. These odds can vary slightly depending on the number of supplementary numbers drawn. Understanding these odds can help players make informed decisions about their participation in the lottery, balancing the excitement of potential winnings with realistic expectations.

What are the odds of winning the OZ Lotto?

The odds of winning the OZ Lotto jackpot are approximately 1 in 45,379,620. This figure represents the chance of matching all seven main numbers drawn from a pool of 45. However, the overall odds of winning any prize in the OZ Lotto are significantly better, standing at around 1 in 87. These odds can vary slightly depending on the number of supplementary numbers drawn. Understanding these odds can help players make informed decisions about their lottery participation, balancing the thrill of potentially winning a life-changing sum with the realistic chances of success.